IND vs AUS: This third Test match between India and Australia at the Gabba, Brisbane, has unfortunately been marred by weather interruptions, with only 17 overs bowled on Day 3. In this limited play, India really suffered a big setback, losing four crucial wickets for just 51 runs. As the rain continues to play a significant role in the game, it would appear that India’s Test-winning prospects are becoming slimmer, and the threat of losing seems very real. A loss would directly affect the Indian team’s chances to qualify for the final of WTC 2025.
The Indian performance in the IND vs AUS Border-Gavaskar Trophy has far-reaching consequences for the WTC points table. The WTC final contenders are also in the race along with India. In the current points table, South Africa is at the top with 63.33% points, followed by Australia at the second spot with 60.71%. The third position is taken by India, following the loss against Australia in Adelaide with 57.29% points, while Sri Lanka remains a contender in the hunt.
If India loses the current Test at Gabba, then it would be a loss for their position in the points table. They would remain third but with a smaller percentage of points, which would make it very difficult for them to catch up with Australia and South Africa. In such a case, India would have to depend on other results to stay in the race for the final.
But if India wins the remaining two Tests of the series, then it would change. Winning the last two Tests would bring India’s points percentage up to 58.8% which would lift India into the second position and help them go further in the qualification race to the WTC final.
The Test at Gabba is a turning point for India. If India wins this match, they would have significantly improved their chances of reaching the WTC final. A win in Gabba, combined with victories in the next two Tests against Australia, would ensure that India does not have to depend on the results of other teams. This would give India direct control over their qualification, without having to rely on other outcomes.
Conversely, if India loses in Gabba, they will be in a very difficult situation. The possibility of qualifying for the WTC final would rely on other teams’ performances, mainly South Africa and Sri Lanka. In this case, India will have to face the sad reality of not making it to the final if other teams perform well.
In case India loses at Gabba, still some of the possibilities are there for India to make a comeback to compete in the final. Like, the Gabba Test might be a draw. If India wins one of the tests and loses one out of the last two tests in the series, the result will be dependent on Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka plays two crucial Tests against Australia and would need to win both matches 2-0 for India to have a chance of advancing to the final.
If South Africa fails, then India’s hopes will be kept alive. South Africa is to play two home Tests against Pakistan, and if South Africa loses both, then India might have a way into the final despite their own failure in the Gabba Test.
Conclusion In short, the fate of India in the WTC 2025 depends on how things go at the Gabba Test. If they win the Gabba Test and win the rest of the matches, then they will automatically make it to the final without waiting for anyone else’s result. If they lose or draw, then the prospects of getting through are quite low and depend on how South Africa and Sri Lanka perform.
Finally, it is the Indian team’s last hope to reach the WTC final, and it all depends on their performance in pressure situations and winning the upcoming Test matches. The Gabba Test is a very crucial stage of their campaign, and if they win here, they will keep their dreams alive.
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