Asia Cup 2025: Pakistan’s five-wicket victory over Sri Lanka at the Sheikh Zayed Stadium in Abu Dhabi has intensified the battle for a place in the Asia Cup 2025 final. With this result, Pakistan now has two points from two matches and a net run rate (NRR) of +0.226, while Sri Lanka has lost both matches and sees their NRR drop to -0.590.
Asia Cup 2025: India Firmly in Control
India remains the clear favourite to reach the final, topping the table with two wins and an NRR of +0.689. The real battle for the second final spot is shaping up to be between Pakistan and Bangladesh.
Sri Lanka’s Steep Road to the Final
The defending champions face an uphill task. To qualify for the Asia Cup 2025 final, Sri Lanka must defeat India by a large margin and rely on other results going their way. The scenario requires:
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Bangladesh beating India
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Bangladesh beating Pakistan
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Sri Lanka beating India
In this case, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka would each have 2 points, with the best NRR deciding who advances.
India’s Path to the Final
India can guarantee a spot in the final by winning their upcoming Asia Cup 2025 match against either Sri Lanka or Bangladesh.
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Pakistan’s Chances Explained
Pakistan can qualify under several scenarios:
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If India beats Bangladesh and Pakistan defeats Bangladesh
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If Bangladesh beats India and Pakistan defeats Bangladesh
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If Sri Lanka beats India, Pakistan qualifies directly
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If India defeats Sri Lanka, then India, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan all finish with 4 points, and NRR decides the top two teams.
Bangladesh Still in the Hunt
Bangladesh also has a chance to reach the final:
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Winning against both India and Pakistan
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Winning against India while Pakistan beats Bangladesh
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If Sri Lanka defeats India, Bangladesh qualifies directly
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If India wins, then India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh all finish with 4 points, and the top two NRRs determine the finalists.
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